Middleton is right in that sense that a turnout of 29.9 percent is statistically significant. But entirely wrong when he suggests this means that there is 2:1 opposition to the Parisi Council supporting the new stadium.
Firstly, a turnout of 30ish percent means that 70ish percent either don’t care one way or the other or weren’t aware of the vote. Either way the majority of residents didn’t vote.
Secondly, those with a strong feeling against the development absolutely DID vote. In other words, we can say with some degree of certainty that the total amount of opposition to the Parish Coucil supporting the stadium is around 20% of the population eligible to vote in this poll. Now I’m sure there’s a few more votes that could be added from people away on holiday or ill etc. But it’s not a hugely variable statistic.
So, in essence, we have a survey that has demonstrated that less than a quarter of residents eligible to vote (ie not children and young people) don’t want a football stadium on their patch. What we don’t know is WHY. Indeed what this actually demonstrates is that the majority of residents either do want the stadium (10ish%), don’t care or need more information (70ish%) to make an informed decision.
Edit: what we also don’t know is what people under the age of 18 want. As per usual the voices of the young are excluded, and this more than anything else needs to change.